A search on any of the popular search engines will provide a trader with a plethora of high probability e-mini trading setups. Oddly enough, I was unable to locate any specific article concerning low probability e-mini trading setups. Yet the problem of most e-mini traders is avoiding low probability setups, which are generally unprofitable. Considering the astounding number of new traders who fall victim to low probability e-mini trading, I found it odd that so little has been written on this particular topic.
Obviously, some trading setups are better than others. That is to say that an e-mini trader who regularly takes high probability setups succeeds at a higher rate than in e-mini trader who takes low probability setups. That being said, the rate of failure of first-year e-mini traders is in the 80% to 90% range. Obviously, an awful lot of new traders are taking low probability setups and failing.
Why, then, are we reluctant to talk about low probability trading setups?
In my world, it is very important to be able to identify high probability e-mini trading setups; but it is just as important to be able to identify low probability trading setups. Perhaps e-mini educators are loathe to discuss the negative aspects of trading as it may discourage potential students from entering the business; for whatever reason, I am baffled at the lack of discussion of low probability trading. Obviously, the failure rate for new traders would indicate that an awful lot of traders are taking an awful lot of lousy trades. Continue reading ‘E-Mini Trading: Low Probability Trading Setups Are the Bane of Effective Trading’ »
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