In the short term bonds and deflation are on a tear going up in price as people flee to safety. So, interest rates go down temporarily. Then watch out! Higher interest rates mean bonds lose value. BIG TIME CAPITAL LOSES – especially in junk bonds.
Recently, bond buyer Bill Gross of the five billion dollar Pimco Fund could have had gross capital gains on his bonds and higher interest income too (later on when interest rates rise) if he would have stayed with the trade. Bonds have recently been gaining value as interest rates dropped. Gross got faked out by the inflation scare. Forget about inflation!
Gross and 99% of the world got some socialist smoke blown in their eyes about the resurgence of financial repression and inflation in the medium (5 + years) term. Robert Prechter says it is not going to happen. Robert Prechter of Elliott Wave International says interest rates will ramp up even in the deflation as people scurry around borrowing to stay afloat at any rate of interest. DEFLATION DEAD AHEAD! Continue reading ‘Bonds and Deflation’ »
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